With a final majority of 710 in the 2014 election, the third-smallest overall, Labour renegade minister Peter Dunne is under threat. Danyl McLaughlin reports: "Former Police Association president Greg O’Connor is rumoured to be interested in becoming Labour’s Ohariu candidate. Nominations close on February 3." (https://dimpost.wordpress.com/2017/01/09/ohariu/#comment-162859)
You can see the leftist rationale for selecting O'Connor to take out Dunne: to defeat a center-right dork, use another. Leftists have learnt that presenting leftist candidates doesn't work when most voters don't want them. Using the theory of identity politics, Ohariu voters, most being center-right dorks, will identify with O'Connor as much as with Dunne, splitting his vote down the middle.
Some will vote National, of course, producing a three-way split of similar proportions. The rationale cleverly factors in O'Connor's advocacy track record on the basis of its similarity to that of a union leader. The dwindling bunch of Labour tribal loyalists will get in behind, so he will pull ahead of the other two. This scenario assumes the Labour/Green MoU is activated to ensure the Greens don't stand a candidate.
What if a majority of the leftists in the candidate selection process want a candidate that is authentic? What if they don't get over-ruled by the Labour hierarchy? How about a barn-storming fire-brand wanting to return Labour to its roots, to replicate what drove it up in popular support a century ago? They'd get Bomber Bradbury to stand against O'Connor - spooking the moderates, who'd then get Laila Harre to provide a feminist option as well.
What if the Greens insisted on a combined selection process, to prove that the MoU has enough substance to model how it would work in government? They could offer Celia Wade-Brown the opportunity of becoming one of the first cabinet ministers in a Labour/Green government (if she rejoins the Green Party sometime soon).
Imagine these four candidates performing their speeches to a Labour/Green selection meeting. O'Connor would present the case for Labour being a solid centrist government in his usual pedestrian style, Bradbury would rouse the old leftist spirit in the audience with team-building rhetoric by demonising the opposition, Harre would be the sweet voice of reason preaching at the converted, and Wade-Brown would tell them that the best way to change the government is to select candidates with a track record of winning and hers is the best out of all four.
Trump showed us lateral-thinking can produce political victory by confounding both wings of the establishment. To get a suitable change of government in Aotearoa, we need Labour & the Greens to learn that lesson. Then use it!